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Google is good at predicting the weather for the next hour.   It is ok at predicting the weather for the next eight hours.   It is touch-and-go when it comes to predicting tomorrow's weather.   Google sucks at predicting the weather one week from now.   Simple, Complicated, Complex   A wheel is a simple system. Infants know how a wheel works.   Planes are complicated systems. Few of us know the ins and outs of how planes work, but each subsystem of the plane is simple, like the wheel. The complicated system is just a whole heap of simple systems stitched together.   But they are knowable.   The weather is a complex, if

The Law of Cooling When you take a hot bowl of water out of the oven and sit it on the counter, thanks to the law of cooling, it will eventually adjust to the temperature of the room. The room temperature becomes the temperature of the bowl, and not the other way around.  The culture and the environment are always more powerful than the individual. We always fall back to the bare minimum systems we have in place.   But what is the source? But when you place that water in the stove and light the gas, the water will heat up, and irrespective of

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