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  So after reflecting on a lot of Nassim Taleb ideas, and a fair bit of my own philosophy, I’ve arrived at this general U-Curve of Certainty Theory.   The hope is that it helps us find the truth when speaking about complex systems (What’s a complex system? See my definition here) and avoid ‘The Weatherman Phenomenon — how smart people become dumber, while looking smarter.’   The idea in a nutshell is this — I can be very certain about things that are Micro (smaller in scope), specific/individualised and imminent, and also about things which are very Macro, general and long-term, but not much

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There's nothing more annoying than receiving spam, marketing dm's and cold calls, right?   There you are minding your own business and working hard, trying to get towards your goals, when someone who's managed to find your number or email pierces through and distracts you during your day.   It's annoying when people waste your time and take away your energy, just to push their agenda. I received one such message the other day and decided that enough was enough.   Hey Joe, Isaac here

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Should you start a podcast? As hard as it is to give generic, best-for-all advice, the answer is probably yes. There's not many things I can say that about, but a podcast is probably one of them.   I launched the With Joe Wehbe Podcast about 11 months ago. I made 121 daily episodes, then stopped for eight months, but now I'm excited to start publishing episodes again.   It's been a very unorthodox podcast journey, but one I'm proud of. Without major reach and distribution yet, so many positives have come from it. In that vein, the below are just 32 of the many

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You're walking through a long corridor. As you come to the end, the corridor opens out to a small Room, and in that Room stands a Doorman, showing you four Doors.   "I present to you four Doors", the Doorman begins.   The Doorman continues.   "You can choose which Door to go through — the First Door leads to a Room full of smart people. The Second Door leads to a Room full of rich people. The Third Door leads to a Room full of people with large crowds of supporters and online followings. The Fourth Door leads to a Room with people with a

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Don't thank me.   The magic comes from the people who are in the Room.   Not the person who Opens the Door.   One Thing.   The business books tell you to focus on one thing, and to become world class at it.   To the business books I say, my physiotherapist wanted me to do rehab for half and hour each day on my ankle.   The problem is, that's too much time to give to my ankle. I have a life to live.   In the same way, the focus of my life cannot be to develop myself into a product with high market value. I was not designed for the

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It's 2:47pm on Sunday afternoon, 7th March 2021 and I'm about to miss the opportunity of a lifetime. I have computed a hypothetical journey into Transport NSW's Trip Planner; getting from St Mary's Cathedral in Sydney to Mystery Bay, which is a coastal area in NSW to visit my friend, by public transport. The journey that gets me there earliest begins 3 minutes from now and is detailed below. If you examine the itinerary carefully, there is a critical flaw somewhere. Let's see if you can find it.   Here's my journey to Mystery Bay:   2:50pm Walk 10 minutes from St. Mary's Cathedral to Castlereagh St

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This is Warren Buffett and Charles T. Munger. If you've never seen or heard of them before, they're two of the most famous investors of all time, and their partnership has lasted 62 years. They were introduced at a dinner party by a mutual friend who thought they'd get along in 1959.   They form one of the most powerful partnerships of all time, and they show us the importance and impact that the right people can have on your life.   The Impact   I can't really comment on the impact Buffett has had on Munger, or vice versa. I'm not privy to their inner circles.

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When I was in my late teens, I didn’t really understand that entrepreneurship could be a path for me. It just seemed like this thing Richard Branson (creator of Virgin) did. It didn’t seem accessible even though I read his book and learnt about his story.    I remember another moment when I was at university studying psychology. We did this unit on consumer psychology and I thought about how fascinating that would be as a career path, but I was in a bind. My dream had been, for however long, to be a filmmaker and not a psychologist.    I looked at these

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I would be terrified to count my total Playstation-playing hours per year when I first left school. I always wanted to spend more time making short films in my left over time from studying but the temptation to go out and party, or sit on the Playstation for hours on end often got the better of me.    I saw the value in doing something more creative and productive with my time - but I rarely found the intentionality to do so.    A Football Team Can Only Have Eleven Players On The Field At Any One Time   There was only one game I used

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